Abstract Background Single cell technologies are transforming biomedical research, including the recent demonstration that unspliced pre-mRNA present in single cell RNA-Seq permits prediction of future expression states. Here we applied this ‘RNA velocity concept’ to an extended timecourse dataset covering mouse gastrulation and early organogenesis. Results Intriguingly, RNA velocity correctly identified epiblast cells as the starting point, but several trajectory predictions at later stages were inconsistent with both real time ordering and existing knowledge. The most striking discrepancy concerned red blood cell maturation, with velocity-inferred trajectories opposing the true differentiation path. Investigating the underlying causes revealed a group of genes with a coordinated step-change in transcription, thus violating the assumptions behind current velocity analysis suites, which do not accommodate time-dependent changes in expression dynamics. Using scRNA-Seq analysis of chimeric mouse embryos lacking the major erythroid regulator Gata1 , we show that genes with the step-changes in expression dynamics during erythroid differentiation fail to be up-regulated in the mutant cells, thus underscoring the coordination of modulating transcription rate along a differentiation trajectory. In addition to the expected block in erythroid maturation, the Gata1 - chimera dataset revealed induction of PU.1 and expansion of megakaryocyte progenitors. Finally, we show that erythropoiesis in human fetal liver is similarly characterized by a coordinated step-change in gene expression. Conclusions By identifying a limitation of the current velocity framework coupled with in vivo analysis of mutant cells, we reveal a coordinated step-change in gene expression kinetics during erythropoiesis, with likely implications for many other differentiation processes.

Coordinated Changes in Gene Expression Kinetics Underlie both Mouse and Human Erythroid Maturation