Abstract The evolutionary and functional studies suggested that the emergence of the Omicron variants can be determined by multiple fitness trade-offs including the immune escape, binding affinity, conformational plasticity, protein stability and allosteric modulation. In this study, we embarked on a systematic comparative analysis of the conformational dynamics, electrostatics, protein stability and allostery in the different functional states of spike trimers for BA.1, BA.2, and BA.2.75 variants. Using efficient and accurate coarse-grained simulations and atomistic reconstruction of the ensembles, we examined conformational dynamics of the spike trimers that agrees with the recent functional studies, suggesting that BA.2.75 trimers are the most stable among these variants. A systematic mutational scanning of the inter-protomer interfaces in the spike trimers revealed a group of conserved structural stability hotspots that play a key role in modulation of functional dynamics and are also involved in the inter-protomer couplings through local contacts and interaction networks with the Omicron mutational sites. The results of mutational scanning provided evidence that BA.2.75 trimers are more stable than BA.2 and comparable in stability to BA.1 variant. Using dynamic network modeling of the S Omicron BA.1, BA.2 and BA.2.75 trimers we showed that the key network positions driving long-range signaling are associated with the major stability hotspots that are inter-connected along potential communication pathways, while sites of Omicron mutations may often correspond to weak spots of stability and allostery but are coupled to the major stability hotspots through interaction networks. The presented analysis of the BA.1, BA.2 and BA.2.75 trimers suggested that thermodynamic stability of BA.1 and BA.2.75 variants may be intimately linked with the residue interaction network organization that allows for a broad ensemble of allosteric communications in which signaling between structural stability hotspots may be modulated by the Omicron mutational sites. The findings provided plausible rationale for mechanisms in which Omicron mutations can evolve to balance thermodynamic stability and conformational adaptability in order to ensure proper tradeoff between stability, binding and immune escape.

Coarse-Grained Molecular Simulations and Ensemble-Based Mutational Profiling of Protein Stability in the Different Functional Forms of the SARS-CoV-2 Spike Trimers : Balancing Stability and Adaptability in BA.1, BA.2 and BA.2.75 Variants