De novo mutations (DNMs) cause a large fraction of severe rare diseases of childhood. DNMs that occur in early embryos may result in mosaicism of both somatic and germ cells. Such early mutations may be transmitted to more than one offspring and cause recurrence of serious disease. We scanned 1,007 sibling pairs from 251 families and identified 885 DNMs shared by siblings (ssDNMs) at 451 genomic sites. We estimated the probability of DNM recurrence based on presence in the blood of the parent, sharing by other siblings, parent-of-origin, mutation type, and genomic position. We detected 52.1% of ssDNMs in the parental blood. The probability of a DNM being shared goes down by 2.28% per year for paternal DNMs and 1.82% for maternal DNMs. Shared paternal DNMs are more likely to be T>C mutations than maternal ones, but less likely to be C>T mutations. Depending on DNM properties, the probability of recurrence in a younger sibling ranges from 0.013% to 29.6%. We have launched an online DNM recurrence probability calculator, to use in genetic counselling in cases of rare genetic diseases.

Recurrence of de novo mutations in families