Abstract

Understanding how gut microbial species determine their abundances is crucial in developing any microbiome-based therapy. Towards that end, we show that the compositions of our gut microbiota have characteristic and attractive steady states, and hence respond to perturbations in predictable ways. This is achieved by developing a new method to analyze the stability landscape of the human gut microbiome. In order to illustrate the efficacy of our method and its ecological interpretation in terms of asymptotic stability, this novel method is applied to various human cohorts, including large cross-sectional studies, long longitudinal studies with frequent sampling, and perturbation studies via fecal microbiota transplantation, antibiotic and probiotic treatments. These findings will facilitate future ecological modeling efforts in human microbiome research. Moreover, the method allows for the prediction of the compositional shift of the gut microbiome during the fecal microbiota transplantation process. This result holds promise for translational applications, such as, personalized donor selection when performing fecal microbiota transplantations.\n\nOne Sentence SummaryA new method for analyzing the stability landscape of the human gut microbiome and predicting its steady-state composition is developed.