Microbes affect each other's growth in multiple, often elusive ways. The ensuing interdependencies form complex networks, believed to influence taxonomic composition, as well as community-level functional properties and dynamics. Elucidation of these networks is often pursued by measuring pairwise interaction in co-culture experiments. However, combinatorial complexity precludes the exhaustive experimental analysis of pairwise interactions even for moderately sized microbial communities. Here, we use a machine-learning random forest approach to address this challenge. In particular, we show how partial knowledge of a microbial interaction network, combined with trait-level representations of individual microbial species, can provide accurate inference of missing edges in the network and putative mechanisms underlying interactions. We applied our algorithm to two case studies: an experimentally mapped network of interactions between auxotrophic E. coli strains, and a large in silico network of metabolic interdependencies between 100 human gut-associated bacteria. For this last case, 5% of the network is enough to predict the remaining 95% with 80% accuracy, and mechanistic hypotheses produced by the algorithm accurately reflect known metabolic exchanges. Our approach, broadly applicable to any microbial or other ecological network, can drive the discovery of new interactions and new molecular mechanisms, both for therapeutic interventions involving natural communities and for the rational design of synthetic consortia.

Machine learning reveals missing edges and putative interaction mechanisms in microbial ecosystem networks