Abstract

In recent years, ice and snow disasters have occurred frequently, and transmission line icing can pose a great threat to the operation of the power system. In order to solve this problem, the power industry should introduce an intelligent monitoring system to recognize the risk of ice-covered disasters in advance and take timely countermeasures to reduce the impact of extreme weather on the safe operation of the power system. In this paper, we first use Python to sort out and summarize multidimensional meteorological data from multiple locations in the Northeast China, and propose a method called Grey Relational Pearson Combination Analysis (GPCA). Through this method, we determine the correlation between multidimensional meteorological data and icing degree, and select the optimal combination of icing factors as the feature vector for a support vector machine. In addition, we also compare the differences in classification effects of four types of kernel functions, such as linear kernel, polynomial kernel and Gaussian kernel. Finally, considering data balance, we use Gaussian kernel to establish GPCA-SVM model and conduct experimental analysis. There was a 1.04% increase in accuracy, a 1.36% increase in recall, and 0.31% increase in F1 value when comparing gray correlation accuracy and a 21.66% increase in precision when comparing Pearson accuracy at light icing. Comparison of gray correlation accuracy at heavy icing improved by 1.04%, precision by 17.44%, and F1 value by 10.29%; comparison of Pearson accuracy improved by 0.31%, precision by 9.93%, and F1 value by 1.67%. These research results lay the foundation for the intelligent monitoring system of power grid, and provide guarantee for the operation and maintenance of power system.