Abstract

Background: Meningiomas have significant heterogeneity between patients, making prognostication challenging. For this study, we prospectively validate the prognostic capabilities of a DNA methylation-based predictor and multiomic molecular groups (MG) of meningiomas. Methods: DNA methylation profiles were generated using the Illumina EPICarray. MG were assigned as previously published. Performance of our methylation-based predictor and MG were compared with WHO grade using generalized boosted regression modeling by generating time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and computing area under the ROC curves (AUCs) along with their 95% confidence interval using bootstrap resampling. Results: 295 meningiomas treated from 2018-2021 were included. Methylation-defined high-risk meningiomas had significantly poorer PFS and OS compared to low-risk cases (p<0.0001). Methylation risk increased with higher WHO grade and MG. Higher methylome risk (HR 4.89, 95%CI 2.02-11.82) and proliferative MG (HR 4.11, 95%CI 1.29-13.06) were associated with significantly worse PFS independent of WHO grade, extent of resection, and adjuvant RT. Both methylome-risk and MG classification predicted 3- and 5-year PFS and OS more accurately than WHO grade alone (ΔAUC=0.10-0.23). 42 cases were prescribed adjuvant RT prospectively although RT did not significantly improve PFS in high-risk cases (p=0.41). Conclusions: Molecular profiling outperforms conventional WHO grading for prognostication in an independent, prospectively collected cohort of meningiomas.