Abstract

Study Design Delphi study Objective The objective of this study was to identify risk factors associated with the development and/or progression of neurological deficits in patients with metastatic spinal disease. Methods A three-round Delphi study was conducted between January-May 2023 including AO Spine members, comprising mainly neurosurgeons and orthopedic surgeons. In round 1, participants listed radiological factors, patient characteristics, tumor characteristics, previous cancer-related treatment factors and additional factors. In round 2, participants ranked the factors on importance per category and selected a top 9 from all factors. Kendall’s W coefficient of concordance was calculated as a measure of consensus. In the final round, participants provided feedback on the rankings resulting from round 2. Lastly, the highest-ranking factors were more clearly defined and operationalized by an expert panel. Results Over two hundred physicians and researchers participated in each round. The factors listed in the first round were collapsed into 12 radiological factors, 14 patient characteristics, 6 tumor characteristics and 12 previous cancer-related treatment factors. High agreement was found in round 3 on the top-half lists in each category and the overall top 9, originating from round 2. Kendall’s W indicated strong agreement between the participants. ‘Epidural spinal cord compression’, ‘aggressive tumor behavior’ and ‘mechanical instability’ were deemed most influential for the development of neurological deficits. Conclusion This study provides factors that may be related to the development and/or progression of neurological deficits in patients with metastatic spinal disease. This list can serve as a basis for future directions in prognostication research.