Abstract Background Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) is the usual treatment for locally-advanced breast cancer (BC). However, more than half of the patients lack an effective response to this treatment. Thus, it’s urgent to find predictive biomarkers. Recently, we proposed the HLA-DR expression level in cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) as a robust biomarker to select, in advance, patients that will actually benefit from NACT. Patients and Methods A total of 202 BC patients, 102 of which submitted to NACT, were enrolled in this study. 61 biopsies and 41 blood samples collected pre-NACT and 100 non-NACT tumor samples were immunophenotyped by flow cytometry. Both NACT and non-NACT patients were followed up for 34 months. Blood-isolated immune cells were cultured with BC cell lines in a 3D system. Results Here we confirmed that HLA-DR level in CTLs is a highly sensitive and specific biomarker to predict BC response to NACT, reflected in circulation and independent of the patients’ age, BC subtype and other tumor-immunological features. Therefore, we developed a predictive probability model, based on the determination of HLA-DR level in tumor-infiltrating CTLs, that could be used to guide therapeutic decisions. Interestingly, this biomarker was also associated with progression-free survival, regardless the treatment. Contrary to HLA-DRnegative CTLs, HLA-DR+ CTLs were able to reduce the viability of tumor cells, in culture, in agreement with their higher expression of activation, proliferation and cytotoxicity-related molecules. Tissue-residency and memory markers were also increased in HLA-DR+ CTLs. These anti-tumor features of HLA-DR+ CTLs may justify the clinical observations. Conclusion HLA-DR level in CTLs is a validated and independent biomarker to predict response to NACT which allow the establishment of a clinical meaningful tool to select in advance patients that will truly benefit from this treatment. Intriguingly, it may be further used as a biomarker of BC patients’ general prognosis. Highlights - HLA-DR level in cytotoxic T cells is an independent predictive factor of breast cancer response to NACT - A predictive probability model based on this biomarker was developed as a new tool to improve treatment decisions - HLA-DR level in cytotoxic T cells is also reflected systemically - HLA-DR level in cytotoxic T cells is also a prognostic factor, associated with progression-free survival - HLA-DR+ cytotoxic T cells exhibit several phenotypic and functional anti-tumor characteristics