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CZ
Cherry Zhang
Author with expertise in Economics and Impact of Film Industry
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(0% Open Access)
Cited by:
12
h-index:
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i10-index:
5
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The Halloween Effect: Everywhere and All the Time
Ben Jacobsen
et al.
Jan 1, 2012
To answer the sceptics, we use all historical data (62962 observations) on all stock market indices worldwide to verify the robustness of the so-called Halloween Indicator or Sell in May effect. The effect seems remarkably robust with returns on average 4% higher during November-April period than during May-October. A new test for the effect offers some additional insights. Worldwide excess returns during summer seem negative (around -1%) and often significantly so suggesting a flat or negative risk return relation. Only for Mauritius do we find a significantly positive risk return relation during May-October. Our dataset also allows for a new (upper bound) estimate for the equity premium of around 4%.
Finance
Clinical Psychology
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