Abstract Background Nutrition is recognized as playing an important role in the metabolic syndrome (MetS), but the dietary components involved are unclear. We aimed to investigate nutrition factors in relation to MetS and its progression in older adults over a follow-up period of 5.4 years. Methods Community-dwelling adults (≥ 60y) from the Trinity-Ulster-Department-of-Agriculture study, sampled at baseline (2008–12) and follow-up (2014–18; n 953), were classified as ‘with MetS’ by having three or more of: waist circumference (≥ 102 cm, males; ≥ 88 cm, females); HDL-cholesterol (&lt; 1.0 mmol/L, males; &lt; 1.3 mmol/L, females); triglycerides (≥ 1.7 mmol/L); blood pressure (systolic ≥ 130 and/or diastolic ≥ 85 mmHg); and hemoglobin A1c (≥ 39 mmol/mol). Results MetS was identified in 67% of participants, increasing to 74% at follow-up. Predictors at baseline for the development of metabolic syndrome (MetS) at follow-up were higher waist circumference (odds ratio [95%CI]; 1.06 [1.01–1.11]), but not BMI, and increased triglyceride concentrations (2.01 [1.29–3.16]). In dietary analysis (at follow-up), higher protein (g/kg bodyweight/day) and monounsaturated fatty acid (g/day) intakes were each associated with lower risk of MetS (0.06 [0.02–0.20] and 0.88 [0.78–1.00], respectively), whilst higher protein was also associated with lower abdominal obesity (0.10 [0.02–0.51]) and hypertension (0.22 [0.00–0.80]). Furthermore, participants with, compared to without, MetS consumed less high-quality protein foods ( P = 0.006) and more low-quality protein foods ( P &lt; 0.001), as defined by the protein digestibility-corrected amino acid score. Conclusions Dietary interventions targeting protein quantity and quality may have specific benefits in preventing or delaying the progression of MetS in at-risk older people, but this requires investigation in the form of randomized trials.

Identification of nutrition factors in the metabolic syndrome and its progression over time in older adults: analysis of the TUDA cohort